Monash: A $30M Property Investment Case
Led a four-person team on a $30M property investment case, projecting a 12.6% IRR over a five-year horizon and stress-testing the downside with DCF and sensitivity analysis.
- Role
- Team Leader
- Organisation
- Monash University
- Location
- Melbourne, Australia
I led a four-person team on a $30M property investment case and built it to a projected 12.6% IRR over a five-year hold, with the downside mapped out rather than assumed away.
Context
The brief was a full investment recommendation on a $30M asset: build the case, defend the return, and be honest about what could go wrong. As team leader I owned both the model and how we told the story.
Approach
I ran the DCF modelling over a five-year horizon and added sensitivity analysis on top to put numbers on the downside and the yield range. That meant moving the inputs that actually mattered (rent growth, exit cap rate, financing cost), not presenting a single tidy figure.
Result
- A defensible 12.6% projected IRR over five years on a $30M case.
- A sensitivity view that showed where the return held and where it broke.
What I took from it
A single number is only a starting point; the range around it is the real insight. Leading the team also taught me that a recommendation is only as strong as the weakest assumption you are willing to defend out loud.